Grammatically, all of these sentences are acceptable. But your percentages of possibility aren't really on target.
He passed the driving test.
You're 100% sure he passed.
He might/may have passed the driving test.
You're unsure how he did but it's possible he passed. The percentage of possibility isn't straightforward. It's affected by context (and even, if the sentence is spoken rather than written, inflection).
He must have passed the driving test.
This doesn't express possibility at all; it's the conclusion of a logical deduction.
He would have passed the driving test.
This also doesn't express possibility. In fact, the sentence implies that he failed the test. *He would have passed it, but something got in the way.*
He could have passed the driving test.
Depending on context, this version can work either like might/may, or like would, e.g.:
"He sounded excited on the phone. He could have passed the driving test."
...or...
"He could have passed the driving test. He is an excellent driver. But his bus broke down on the way and he missed his appointment."