2011 Prince Edward Island general election
The 2011 Prince Edward Island general election was held on October 3, 2011.[2][3]
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27 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island 14 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 76.53%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via plurality results by each riding. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The Liberal government of Premier Robert Ghiz was elected to a second majority government, winning one seat less than they did in 2007. Ghiz himself considered 18 seats to be a marker for a strong majority. He won 22.
Health care was an important issue during the election, especially in rural areas.[4]
The Progressive Conservatives retained their position as Official Opposition, winning five seats. Olive Crane used the issue of the Provincial Nominee Program during the election, as well as issues surrounding immigration and investments that came under investigation by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police and Federal Minister Jason Kenney during the election.[5]
Results
Both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives lost votes, and lost in the share of vote. Turnout was down and seven thousand fewer voters cast ballots total. The Greens and New Democrats increased both their raw vote and their share of the vote, and the new Island party took nearly a full percentage point. Three incumbent Liberal MLAs were defeated by Progressive Conservatives; the Progressive Conservatives retained one of the two seats they held at the dissolution of the previous legislature, as well as one vacant seat which they held prior to the resignation of Michael Currie from the legislature in March 2011, while the Liberals gained one seat whose Progressive Conservative incumbent did not stand for re-election.
The election saw one riding, Kellys Cross-Cumberland, have six candidates, a rarity in PEI elections.
The PC Party solidified their base in central-east PEI, winning four ridings that were part of the federal riding of Cardigan, and carried the region. The PC Party also managed to win a single seat on the northern tip of the Island.
| 22 | 5 |
| Liberal | PC |
| Party | Party leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Dissol. | 2011 | Change | # | % | Change | ||||
| Liberal | Robert Ghiz | 27 | 23 | 24 | 22 | -1 | 38,315 | 51.38% | -1.55% | |
| Progressive Conservative | Olive Crane | 27 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 29,950 | 40.16% | -1.19% | |
| Green | Sharon Labchuk | 22 | - | - | 0 | 3,254 | 4.36% | +1.32% | ||
| New Democratic | James Rodd | 14 | - | - | 0 | 2,355 | 3.16% | +1.20% | ||
| Island | Billy Cann | 12 | * | - | 0 | 682 | 0.91% | * | ||
| Independents and no affiliation | 1 | - | - | 0 | 15 | 0.02% | -0.71% | |||
| Vacant | - | - | 1 | |||||||
| Total | 103 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 74,571 | |||||
* The Island Party of Prince Edward Island was not a registered political party at the time of the 2007 election.
Synopsis of results
| Riding | # | Federal Riding |
2007 | Winning party[a 2] | Turnout [a 3] |
Votes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Share | Margin # |
Margin % |
Lib | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Ind | Total | |||||||
| Alberton-Roseville | 26 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,604 | 56.18% | 467 | 16.36% | 83.10% | 1,604 | 1,137 | 71 | – | 43 | – | 2,855 | ||
| Belfast-Murray River | 4 | CAR | PC | Lib | 1,135 | 45.86% | 8 | 0.32% | 79.02% | 1,135 | 1,127 | 114 | – | 99 | – | 2,475 | ||
| Borden-Kinkora | 19 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,590 | 49.41% | 122 | 3.79% | 77.85% | 1,590 | 1,468 | 160 | – | – | – | 3,218 | ||
| Charlottetown-Brighton | 13 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,228 | 52.46% | 529 | 22.60% | 77.42% | 1,228 | 699 | 238 | 176 | – | – | 2,341 | ||
| Charlottetown-Lewis Point | 14 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,411 | 52.01% | 516 | 19.02% | 70.01% | 1,411 | 895 | 132 | 275 | – | – | 2,713 | ||
| Charlottetown-Parkdale | 11 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,510 | 61.76% | 845 | 34.56% | 73.78% | 1,510 | 665 | 152 | 118 | – | – | 2,445 | ||
| Charlottetown-Sherwood | 10 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,538 | 53.93% | 478 | 16.76% | 77.86% | 1,538 | 1,060 | 127 | 127 | – | – | 2,852 | ||
| Charlottetown-Victoria Park | 12 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,112 | 51.29% | 530 | 24.45% | 69.03% | 1,112 | 582 | 278 | 177 | 19 | – | 2,168 | ||
| Cornwall-Meadowbank | 16 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,686 | 63.46% | 930 | 35.00% | 71.03% | 1,686 | 756 | 172 | – | 43 | – | 2,657 | ||
| Evangeline-Miscouche | 24 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,722 | 77.22% | 1,304 | 58.48% | 84.89% | 1,722 | 418 | 64 | – | 26 | – | 2,230 | ||
| Georgetown-St. Peters | 2 | CAR | PC | PC | 1,575 | 53.30% | 361 | 12.22% | 83.91% | 1,214 | 1,575 | 47 | 87 | 32 | – | 2,955 | ||
| Kellys Cross-Cumberland | 17 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,768 | 54.02% | 808 | 24.69% | 77.54% | 1,768 | 960 | 306 | 182 | 42 | 15 | 3,273 | ||
| Kensington-Malpeque | 20 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,820 | 57.18% | 655 | 20.58% | 74.76% | 1,820 | 1,165 | – | 198 | – | – | 3,183 | ||
| Montague-Kilmuir | 3 | CAR | PC | Lib | 1,127 | 46.57% | 123 | 5.08% | 78.10% | 1,127 | 1,004 | 89 | – | 200 | – | 2,420 | ||
| Morell-Mermaid | 7 | CAR | PC | PC | 1,649 | 58.29% | 616 | 21.77% | 88.28% | 1,033 | 1,649 | 114 | – | 33 | – | 2,829 | ||
| O'Leary-Inverness | 25 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,431 | 55.51% | 284 | 11.02% | 78.83% | 1,431 | 1,147 | – | – | – | – | 2,578 | ||
| Rustico-Emerald | 18 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,498 | 49.50% | 157 | 5.19% | 78.69% | 1,498 | 1,341 | 187 | – | – | – | 3,026 | ||
| Souris-Elmira | 1 | CAR | Lib | PC | 1,302 | 48.58% | 30 | 1.12% | 86.25% | 1,272 | 1,302 | – | – | 106 | – | 2,680 | ||
| Stratford-Kinlock | 6 | CAR | Lib | PC | 2,020 | 55.59% | 779 | 21.44% | 77.63% | 1,241 | 2,020 | 168 | 205 | – | – | 3,634 | ||
| Summerside-St. Eleanors | 22 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,426 | 51.76% | 389 | 14.12% | 63.76% | 1,426 | 1,037 | 145 | 147 | – | – | 2,755 | ||
| Summerside-Wilmot | 21 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,382 | 54.75% | 445 | 17.63% | 65.36% | 1,382 | 937 | 205 | – | – | – | 2,524 | ||
| Tignish-Palmer Road | 27 | EGM | Lib | PC | 1,175 | 50.15% | 33 | 1.41% | 81.74% | 1,142 | 1,175 | – | – | 26 | – | 2,343 | ||
| Tracadie-Hillsborough Park | 8 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,304 | 48.53% | 168 | 6.25% | 72.80% | 1,304 | 1,136 | 93 | 136 | 18 | – | 2,687 | ||
| Tyne Valley-Linkletter | 23 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,390 | 57.27% | 353 | 14.54% | 71.68% | 1,390 | 1,037 | – | – | – | – | 2,427 | ||
| Vernon River-Stratford | 5 | CAR | Lib | Lib | 1,311 | 50.52% | 257 | 9.90% | 77.29% | 1,311 | 1,054 | 119 | 111 | – | – | 2,595 | ||
| West Royalty-Springvale | 15 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,432 | 45.93% | 63 | 2.02% | 75.31% | 1,432 | 1,369 | 151 | 166 | – | – | 3,118 | ||
| York-Oyster Bed | 9 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,988 | 55.30% | 753 | 20.95% | 79.55% | 1,988 | 1,235 | 122 | 250 | – | – | 3,595 | ||
- Report of the Chief Electoral Officer of Prince Edward Island for the Provincial General Election of 3 October 2011 (PDF). Elections Prince Edward Island. 2015. pp. 2–6.
{{cite book}}:|website=ignored (help) - percentages calculated on valid votes only
- including spoilt ballots
- = open seat
- = turnout is above provincial average
- = incumbency arose from byelection gain
- = incumbent re-elected in same riding
- = other incumbent renominated
| Source | Party | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lib | PC | Total | ||
| Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| Open seats held | 1 | 1 | ||
| Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 3 | 3 | |
| Open seats gained | 1 | 1 | ||
| Byelection gain held | 1 | 1 | ||
| Total | 22 | 5 | 27 | |
Results by region
| Party Name | Cardigan | Malpeque | Charlottetown | Egmont | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | Seats: | 3 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |
| Popular Vote: | 42.54% | 52.87% | 54.31% | 57.01% | 51.38% | ||
| Progressive Conservative | Seats: | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Popular Vote: | 49.68% | 38.10% | 31.16% | 38.89% | 40.16% | ||
| Total seats: | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | ||
| Parties that won no seats: | |||||||
| Green | Vote: | 651 | 1,191 | 927 | 485 | 3,254 | |
| Popular Vote: | 3.32% | 4.81% | 7.40% | 2.74% | 4.36% | ||
| NDP | Vote: | 403 | 932 | 873 | 147 | 2,355 | |
| Popular Vote: | 2.06% | 3.77% | 6.97% | 0.83% | 3.16% | ||
| Island Party | Vote: | 470 | 98 | 19 | 95 | 682 | |
| Popular Vote: | 2.40% | 0.40% | 0.15% | 0.54% | 0.91% | ||
| Independent | Vote: | 15 | 15 | ||||
| Popular Vote: | 0.06% | 0.02% | |||||
Incumbent MLAs not running for re-election
Progressive Conservative
- Michael Currie (resigned, March 28, 2011), Georgetown-St. Peters[6]
- Jim Bagnall, Montague-Kilmuir
Opinion polls
| Polling Firm | Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Greens | New Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate Research Associates | September 29, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 36 | 5 | 5 |
| Corporate Research Associates | August 28, 2011 | 59 | 31 | 3 | 7 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | June 10, 2011 | 51 | 35 | 2 | 13 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | March 9, 2011 | 62 | 25 | 2 | 11 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | December 6, 2010 | 53 | 34 | 8 | 4 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | August 24, 2010 | 61 | 30 | 2 | 6 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2010 | 61 | 27 | 3 | 8 | |
| Corporate Research Associates | February 24, 2010 | HTML | 64 | 26 | 4 | 6 |
| Corporate Research Associates | December 3, 2009 | HTML | 57 | 31 | 3 | 9 |
| Corporate Research Associates | August 2009 | HTML | 62 | 27 | 5 | 6 |
| Corporate Research Associates | May 2009 | HTML | 57 | 32 | 4 | 7 |
| Corporate Research Associates | February 2009 | HTML | 64 | 28 | 2 | 6 |
| Corporate Research Associates | November 2008 | HTML | 55 | 31 | 5 | 8 |
| Corporate Research Associates | August 2008 | HTML | 63 | 25 | 6 | 6 |
| Corporate Research Associates | May 2008 | HTML | 61 | 27 | 4 | 7 |
| Corporate Research Associates | February 2008 | HTML | 68 | 34 | 4 | 6 |
| Corporate Research Associates | November 2007 | HTML | 64 | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| Election 2007 | May 28, 2007 | HTML | 52.9 | 41.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
Riding by riding results
Cardigan
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Other | |||||||||
| Belfast-Murray River | Charlie McGeoghegan 1,135 - (45.86%) |
Darlene Compton 1,127 - (45.54%) |
John Burhoe 114 - (4.61%) |
Andy Clarey 99 - (4.00%) |
Charlie McGeoghegan | |||||||||
| Georgetown-St. Peters | Kevin Gotell 1,214 - (41.08%) |
Steven Myers 1,575 - (53.30%) |
Jason Furness 47 - (1.59%) |
Jane Dunphy 87 - (2.94%) |
Ray Cantelo 32 - (1.08%) |
Vacant | ||||||||
| Montague-Kilmuir | Allen Roach 1,127 - (46.57%) |
Greg Farrell 1,004 - (41.49%) |
Vanessa Young 89 - (3.68%) |
Billy Cann 200 - (8.26%) |
Jim Bagnall† | |||||||||
| Morell-Mermaid | Dan MacDonald 1,033 - (36.51%) |
Olive Crane 1,649 - (58.29%) |
Darcie Lanthier 114 - (4.03%) |
Roger Nowe 33 - (1.17%) |
Olive Crane | |||||||||
| Souris-Elmira | Allan Campbell 1,272 - (47.46%) |
Colin LaVie 1,302 - (48.58%) |
Jason MacGregor 106 - (3.96%) |
Allan Campbell | ||||||||||
| Stratford-Kinlock | Cynthia Dunsford 1,241 - (34.15%) |
James Aylward 2,020 - (55.59%) |
Donald Killorn 168 - (4.62%) |
Chris van Ouwerkerk 205 - (5.64%) |
Cynthia Dunsford | |||||||||
| Vernon River-Stratford | Alan McIsaac 1,311 - (50.52%) |
Mary Ellen McInnis 1,054 - (40.62%) |
Marion Pirch 119 - (4.59%) |
Edith Perry 111 - (4.28%) |
Alan McIsaac | |||||||||
Malpeque
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Other | |||||||||
| Borden-Kinkora | George Webster 1,590 - (49.41%) |
Jamie Fox 1,468 - (45.62%) |
Conor Leggott 160 - (4.97%) |
George Webster | ||||||||||
| Cornwall-Meadowbank | Ron MacKinley 1,686 - (63.46%) |
Larry Hogan 756 - (28.45%) |
Allieanna Ballagh 172 - (6.47%) |
Jay Gallant 43 - (1.62%) |
Ron MacKinley | |||||||||
| Kellys Cross-Cumberland | Valerie Docherty 1,768 - (54.10%) |
Neila Auld 960 - (29.38%) |
Peter Bevan-Baker 306 - (9.36%) |
Jesse Reddin Cousins 182 - (5.56%) |
Paul Smitz 37 - (1.13%) |
Arthur C. Mackenzie 15 - (0.46%) |
Valerie Docherty | |||||||
| Kensington-Malpeque | Wes Sheridan 1,820 - (57.18%) |
Wilber Lamont 1,165 - (36.60%) |
George S. Hunter 198 - (6.22%) |
Wes Sheridan | ||||||||||
| Rustico-Emerald | Carolyn Bertram 1,498 (49.50%) |
Brad Trivers 1,341 - (44.32%) |
Ron Wagner 187- (6.18%) |
Carolyn Bertram | ||||||||||
| York-Oyster Bed | Robert Vessey 1,988 - (55.30%) |
Martie Murphy 1,235 - (34.25%) |
Jenet Clement 122 - (3.39%) |
James Rodd 250 - (6.95%) |
Robert Vessey | |||||||||
Charlottetown
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Other | |||||||||
| Charlottetown-Brighton | Robert Ghiz 1,228 - (52.46%) |
Linda Clements 699 - (29.86%) |
Elizabeth Schoales 238 - (10.17%) |
Trevor John LeClerc 176 - (7.52%) |
Robert Ghiz | |||||||||
| Charlottetown-Lewis Point | Kathleen Casey 1,411 - (52.01%) |
Parnell Kelly 895 - (32.99%) |
Charles Sanderson 132 - (4.87%) |
Jacquie Robichaud 275 - (10.14%) |
Kathleen Casey | |||||||||
| Charlottetown-Parkdale | Doug Currie 1,510 - (61.76%) |
Bernie Flynn 665 - (27.20%) |
Eliza Knockwood 152 - (6.22%) |
Noel Pauley 118 - (4.83%) |
Doug Currie | |||||||||
| Charlottetown-Sherwood | Robert Mitchell 1,538 - (53.93%) |
Mike Gillis 1,060 - (37.17%) |
Sarah Jones 127 - (4.45%) |
Kat Murphy 127 - (4.45%) |
Robert Mitchell | |||||||||
| Charlottetown-Victoria Park | Richard Brown 1,112- (51.29%) |
Myles MacKinnon 582- (26.85%) |
Sharon Labchuk 278 - (12.82%) |
Rita Jackson 177 - (8.16%) |
Philip Stewart 19 - (0.88%) |
Richard Brown | ||||||||
| Tracadie-Hillsborough Park | Buck Watts 1,304 - (48.53%) |
Glen Kelly 1,136 - (42.28%) |
Helene LaRouche 93 - (3.46%) |
Ron Kelly 136 - (5.06%) |
Gary Chipman 18 - (0.67%) |
Buck Watts | ||||||||
| West Royalty-Springvale | Bush Dumville 1,432 - (45.93%) |
Gary Bowness 1,369 - (43.91%) |
Liz Vaine 151 - (4.84%) |
Andrew Want 166 - (5.32%) |
Bush Dumville | |||||||||
Egmont
| Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Other | |||||||||
| Alberton-Roseville | Pat Murphy 1,604 - (56.18%) |
David Gordon 1,137 - (39.82%) |
Gerald O'Meara 71 - (2.49%) |
Mitch Gallant 43 - (1.51%) |
Pat Murphy | |||||||||
| Evangeline-Miscouche | Sonny Gallant 1,722 - (77.22%) |
Edgar Arsenault 418 - (18.74%) |
Melissa Hotte 64 - (2.87%) |
Arthur Arsenault 26 - (1.17%) |
Sonny Gallant | |||||||||
| O'Leary-Inverness | Robert Henderson 1,431 - (55.51%) |
Daniel MacDonald 1,147 - (44.49%) |
Robert Henderson | |||||||||||
| Summerside-St. Eleanors | Gerard Greenan 1,426 - (51.76%) |
Merlin Cormier 1,037 - (37.64%) |
Caleb Adams 145 - (5.26%) |
Paulette Halupa 147 - (5.30%) |
Gerard Greenan | |||||||||
| Summerside-Wilmot | Janice Sherry 1,382 - (54.74%) |
Shirley Anne Cameron 937 - (37.12%) |
Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott 205 - (8.12%) |
Janice Sherry | ||||||||||
| Tignish-Palmer Road | Neil LeClair 1,142 (48.74%) |
Hal Perry 1,175 - (50.15%) |
Derek D. Peters 26 - (1.11%) |
Neil LeClair | ||||||||||
| Tyne Valley-Linkletter | Paula Biggar 1,390 - (57.27%) |
Jim Henwood 1,037 - (42.73%) |
Paula Biggar | |||||||||||
References
- "SaltWire | Prince Edward Island". www.saltwire.com. Archived from the original on December 29, 2021. Retrieved December 30, 2021.
- Wayne Thibodeau (January 11, 2011). "Next election will be fought on new ideas, not new spending: Ghiz". The Guardian. Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island. Archived from the original on January 14, 2011. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
- John Ibbitson (January 10, 2011). "Can Harper wait out the election traffic jam?". Ottawa Notebook. Toronto: Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on January 20, 2011. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
- "Ghiz wins 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. October 3, 2011. Archived from the original on October 4, 2011. Retrieved October 4, 2011.
- "Crane and 4 Tories voted in". CBC News. October 4, 2011. Archived from the original on October 4, 2011. Retrieved October 4, 2011.
- "Currie to run in Cardigan" Archived 2012-11-09 at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, March 28, 2011.
Further reading
- McKenna, Peter; Desserud, Don (2013). "The 2011 Provincial Election in Prince Edward Island". Canadian Political Science Review. 7 (1): 65–71. doi:10.24124/c677/2013342. ISSN 1911-4125. Archived from the original on May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
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