2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Florida's congressional districts have faced heavy accusations of partisan and racial gerrymandering to minimize the voting power of black Floridians. Florida's congressional map is currently being challenged in court. Primary elections will take place on August 20th.
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All 28 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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| Elections in Florida |
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| Government |
Background
On September 2, 2023, a Florida judge ruled that Florida's congressional map, created by Governor Ron DeSantis, violated the Florida Constitution and cannot be used for any future House elections.[1] The issue was specifically on Florida's 5th district, then represented by Democrat Al Lawson, which was removed and replaced by a Republican-leaning district. This was controversial because the district had an African-American plurality.[1] The state's successful appeal is to be challenged in front of the Florida Supreme Court, but the court's timeline makes it unlikely a redrawn map will be created by election time. A concurrent federal lawsuit is also in progress.[2]
District 1
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The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Aaron Dimmock, director for leadership programs at the University of West Florida's AWKO Center for Leadership[4]
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Matt Gaetz
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Aaron Dimmock
- U.S. Representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, former U.S. representative from California's 20th congressional district (2007–2023) and former Speaker of the House (2023)[9]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Matt Gaetz (R) | $4,570,131 | $3,061,133 | $2,078,433 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Aaron Dimmock | |||
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Gay Valimont, athletic trainer[11]
Endorsements
Gay Valimont
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gay Valimont (D) | $280,325[lower-alpha 1] | $255,741 | $24,538 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | December 5, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Democratic | Gay Valimont | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 2
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The incumbent is Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
Endorsements
Neal Dunn
- Federal officials
- U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, Florida (2011–present)[20]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[20]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Neal Dunn (R) | $845,206 | $630,854 | $459,358 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[22] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Rhonda Woodward | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Meghann Hovey, account billing specialist[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | December 5, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Democratic | Meghann Hovey | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 3
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The incumbent is Republican Kat Cammack, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Kat Cammack, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
- Alec Stevens, realtor[5]
Endorsements
Kat Cammack
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kat Cammack (R) | $1,598,108 | $875,976 | $761,534 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kat Cammack (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Alec Stevens | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Tom Wells, scientist and perennial candidate[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Democratic | Tom Wells | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 4
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The incumbent is Republican Aaron Bean, who was elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Aaron Bean, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Withdrawn
- Robert Alvero, firefighter[27]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Aaron Bean (R) | $879,552 | $427,552 | $538,667 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[28] | |||
Nominee
- LaShonda Holloway, former director in the District of Columbia Office of Documents and Administrative Issuances and nominee for this district in 2022[29]
Write-in candidates
- Todd Schaefer (Independent), real estate agent[30]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Aaron Bean | |||
| Democratic | LaShonda Holloway | |||
| Write-in | Todd Schaefer | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 5
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The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was unopposed in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Mara Macie, stay-at-home parent and candidate for this district in 2022[31]
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
John Rutherford
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mara Macie (R) | $8,158 | $778 | $10,255 |
| John Rutherford (R) | $361,230 | $167,374 | $439,478 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[33] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mara Macie | |||
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | March 21, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Democratic | Jay McGovern | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 6
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The incumbent is Republican Michael Waltz, who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- John Grow, tech professional[5]
- Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Michael Waltz
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Michael Waltz (R) | $1,144,071 | $797,896 | $1,415,344 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[35] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Grow | |||
| Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- James Stockton III, pastor[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Democratic | James Stockton III | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 7
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The incumbent is Republican Cory Mills, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Mike Johnson, activist (no relation to U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson)[36]
- Cory Mills, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Cory Mills
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Cory Mills (R) | $603,311[lower-alpha 2] | $559,431 | $69,902 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[37] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Johnson | |||
| Republican | Cory Mills (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Allek Pastrana (D) | $17,535[lower-alpha 3] | $16,993 | $560 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[37] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer Adams | |||
| Democratic | Tatiana Fernandez | |||
| Democratic | Allek Pastrana | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Cory Mills vs. Jennifer Adams
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 4] |
Margin of error |
Cory Mills |
Jennifer Adams |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] | June 13–14, 2024 | 594 (RV) | ? | 48% | 43% | 9% |
District 8
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The incumbent is Republican Bill Posey, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Joe Babits, attorney[39]
- Mike Haridopolos, former president of the Florida Senate (2010–2012) from the 26th district (2003–2012) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012[40]
- John Hearton, information assurance executive[38]
Withdrawn
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Haridopolos)[41]
Declined
- Randy Fine, state representative (endorsed Haridopolos, running for state senate)[42]
Endorsements
Mike Haridopolos
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[43]
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[42]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[42]
- U.S. representatives
- Tom Emmer, Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives[44]
- Mike Johnson, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives[45]
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative[41]
- Steve Scalise, Majority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives[44]
- Elise Stefanik, Chair of the House Republican Conference[44]
- Statewide officials
- Ashley Moody, Florida Attorney General[46]
- Jimmy Patronis, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[47]
- Wilton Simpson, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture[46]
- State legislators
- Randy Fine, state representative[47]
- Sheriffs
- Wayne Ivey, Brevard County sheriff[48]
Bill Posey (withdrawn)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[49]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[49]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Hearton (R) | $256,025[lower-alpha 5] | $122,152 | $133,872 |
| Bill Posey (R) | $348,579 | $245,723 | $525,878 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[50] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Babits | |||
| Republican | Mike Haridopolos | |||
| Republican | John Hearton | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
- Dan McDow, West Melbourne city councilor[38]
- Sandy Kennedy, attorney[5]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Dan McDow (D) | $22,280[lower-alpha 6] | $18,047 | $4,232 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[50] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan McDow | |||
| Democratic | Sandy Kennedy | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 9
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The 9th district includes much of Greater Orlando, stretching from eastern Orlando towards Yeehaw Junction and including the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
Darren Soto
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Darren Soto (D) | $765,779 | $283,742 | $546,317 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[55] | |||
Declared
- Jose Castillo, hospitality management professional and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022[5]
- Thomas Chalifoux, former Osceola County School Board member[5]
- John Quiñones, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2012[56]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Quiñones (R) | $71,899[lower-alpha 7] | $19,203 | $52,696 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[55] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jose Castillo | |||
| Republican | Thomas Chalifoux | |||
| Republican | John Quiñones | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
- Marcus Carter, entrepreneur[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Likely D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | May 9, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Likely D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Very Likely D | June 15, 2024 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto | |||
| Republican | TBD | |||
| Independent | Marcus Carter | |||
| Total votes | ||||
District 10
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The incumbent is Democrat Maxwell Frost, who was elected with 59% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Wade Darius, marketing firm owner and candidate for this district in 2018[5]
- Maxwell Frost, incumbent U.S. Representative[57]
- Issa White, college professor[5]
Endorsements
Maxwell Frost
- State legislators
- Anna Eskamani, state representative[58]
- Johanna López, state representative[58]
- Geraldine Thompson, state senator[58]
- Victor Torres, state senator[58]
- Organizations
- Brady PAC[59]
- Friends of the Earth Action[60]
- Peace Action[61]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[62]
- Population Connection Action Fund[63]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Maxwell Frost (D) | $1,816,662 | $1,214,679 | $935,981 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[65] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Wade Darius | |||
| Democratic | Maxwell Frost (incumbent) | |||
| Democratic | Issa White | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Willie Montague (R) | $4,249 | $3,162 | $1,089 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[65] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tuan Le | |||
| Republican | Willie Montague | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 11
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The 11th district consists of a portion of Central Florida, including The Villages and the western Orlando suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- John McCloy, geophysicist[67]
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative[68]
Withdrawn
- Anthony Sabatini, chair of the Lake County Republican Party, former state representative, and candidate for the 7th district in 2022 (running for Lake County Commission)[69]
Endorsements
Anthony Sabatini
Daniel Webster
- Federal officials
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[73]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[73]
- U.S. representatives
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative from Kentucky's 4th congressional district[74]
- Sheriffs
- Bill Farmer, Sumter County sheriff[75]
- Peyton Grinnell, Lake County sheriff[75]
- Grady Judd, Polk County sheriff[75]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John McCloy (R) | $78,376[lower-alpha 8] | $57,074 | $21,302 |
| Anthony Sabatini (R) | $287,196 | $125,800 | $161,931 |
| Daniel Webster (R) | $513,188 | $222,123 | $518,936 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[76] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 4] |
Margin of error |
Anthony Sabatini |
Daniel Webster |
Other/ undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research[upper-alpha 2] | November 14–19, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ? | 29% | 35% | 36%[lower-alpha 9] |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John McCloy | |||
| Republican | Anthony Sabatini | |||
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
- Barbie Hall, paralegal[78]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 12
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The incumbent is Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 70.4% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
- Hank Dunlap, blue collar worker[5]
Endorsements
Gus Bilirakis
- U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021)[79]
- U.S. representatives
- Byron Donalds, U.S. Representative from Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)[80]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present)[81]
- Anna Paulina Luna, U.S. representative from Florida (2023–present)[81]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[81]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gus Bilirakis (R) | $840,984 | $522,808 | $461,273 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[82] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Hank Dunlap | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Rock Aboujaoude Jr., graduate student[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 13
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The 13th district includes most of Pinellas County, including the cities of Largo, Clearwater, and Palm Harbor, as well as a western portion of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Republican Anna Paulina Luna, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Anna Paulina Luna, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
Anna Paulina Luna
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Anna Paulina Luna (R) | $1,122,274 | $617,143 | $549,966 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[83] | |||
Declared
- Sabrina Bousbar, former senior advisor to the Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response[84]
- Liz Dahan, communications professional[85]
- Whitney Fox, former director of communications and marketing for the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority[86]
- John Liccione, electrical engineer[86]
- Mark Weinkrantz, retired pilot[86]
Declined
- Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022) and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Fox)[87]
Endorsements
Sabrina Bousbar
- State legislators
- Joe Geller, state representative[88]
- Christine Hunschofsky, state representative[89]
- Organizations
Whitney Fox
- U.S. representatives
- Nikki Budzinski, IL-13 (2023–present)[93]
- Kathy Castor, FL-14[lower-alpha 10] (2007–present)[94]
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present)[95]
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, FL-26 (2019–2021)[96]
- Brittany Pettersen, CO-7 (2023–present)[93]
- Deborah Ross, NC-2 (2021–present)[93]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, FL-25[lower-alpha 11] (2005–present)[97]
- Statewide officials
- Betty Castor, former Education Commissioner of Florida (1987–1994)[98]
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)[99]
- State legislators
- Lindsay Cross, state representative (2022–present)[100]
- Janet Cruz, former state senator (2018–2022)[101]
- Tracie Davis, state senator (2022–present)[102]
- Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022)[87]
- Margaret Good, former state representative (2018–2020)[101]
- Adam Hattersley, former state representative (2018–2020)[103]
- Michele Rayner, state representative (2020–present)[102]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, former state representative (2016–2022)[101]
- Local officials
- Rick Kriseman, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2014–2022)[86]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Alan Cohn, Peabody Award-winning journalist[101]
- Fred Guttenberg, gun control activist[105]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Whitney Fox (D) | $204,077[lower-alpha 12] | $52,907 | $151,169 |
| John Liccione (D) | $24,333[lower-alpha 13] | $18,460 | $5,872 |
| Mark Weinkrantz (D) | $43,791[lower-alpha 14] | $19,614 | $24,176 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[83] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sabrina Bousbar | |||
| Democratic | Liz Dahan | |||
| Democratic | Whitney Fox | |||
| Democratic | John Liccione | |||
| Democratic | Mark Weinkrantz | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Lean R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Likely R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Anna Paulina Luna vs. Whitney Fox
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 4] |
Margin of error |
Anna Paulina Luna |
Whitney Fox |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] | May 14–20, 2024 | 401 (V) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
District 14
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The 14th district is based in western Hillsborough County and southeastern Pinellas County, including most of Tampa and some of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Kathy Castor, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Kathy Castor
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kathy Castor (D) | $503,808 | $296,511 | $558,267 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[108] | |||
Declared
Endorsements
Robert Rochford
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Peters (R) | $13,666[lower-alpha 15] | $8,702 | $4,963 |
| Neelam Taneja Perry (R) | $2,040[lower-alpha 16] | $2,040 | $0 |
| Robert Rochford (R) | $10,605 | $7,220 | $3,384 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[108] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ehsan Joarder | |||
| Republican | John Peters | |||
| Republican | Neelam Taneja Perry | |||
| Republican | Robert Rochford | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Nathaniel Snyder, mechanic[110]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 15
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Laurel Lee, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Republican primary
On March 25, former president Donald Trump called for someone to mount a primary challenge to Lee; he did not explain why he thought that Lee should be ousted. Media sources pointed out that Lee had endorsed Ron DeSantis for president and had recently voted for a controversial spending package that the Freedom Caucus opposed.[111] However, Trump would later endorse Lee for re-election.[112]
Declared
- Jennifer Barbosa, paralegal and independent candidate for California's 28th congressional district in 2020[5]
- James Judge, public relations firm owner and nominee for the 14th district in 2022[113]
- Laurel Lee, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Declined
- Laura Loomer, InfoWars contributor, candidate for the 11th district in 2022, and nominee for the 21st district in 2020[114]
- Rogan O'Handley, attorney and internet personality[115]
- Jackie Toledo, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2022[116]
Endorsements
James Judge
- U.S. representatives
- Steve King, former U.S. representative from Iowa's 4th congressional district[117]
- Ted Yoho, former U.S. representative from Florida's 3rd congressional district[117]
- Notable figures
- Roger Stone, political consultant[117]
- Organizations
Laurel Lee
- Federal officials
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[118]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[118]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Laurel Lee (R) | $581,958 | $230,980 | $438,217 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[119] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jennifer Barbosa | |||
| Republican | James Judge | |||
| Republican | Laurel Lee (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Pat Kemp, at-large Hillsborough County commissioner[120]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kris Fitzgerald (D) | $17,132 | $13,818 | $3,314 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[119] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 16
| |||||||
| |||||||
The 16th district encompasses Manatee County and eastern Hillsborough County, taking in Tampa's eastern suburbs, including Riverview and parts of Brandon. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
- Eddie Speir, private school founder and former New College of Florida trustee[121]
Declined
Endorsements
Vern Buchanan
- Federal officials
- Sheriffs
- Chad Chronister, Hillsborough County sheriff[124]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County sheriff[125]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Vern Buchanan (R) | $868,237 | $667,317 | $1,584,270 |
| Eddie Speir (R) | $522,328[lower-alpha 17] | $93,261 | $427,152 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[126] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 4] |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan |
Eddie Speir |
Other/ undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[upper-alpha 4] | April 3, 2024 | 431 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 64% | 13% | 23% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Eddie Speir | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Trent Miller | |||
| Democratic | Jan Schneider | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 17
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Greg Steube, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Greg Steube
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Greg Steube (R) | $774,646 | $541,655 | $1,200,404 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[127] | |||
Declared
- Manny Lopez, realtor[128]
- Matthew Montavon, retired United Nations official[128]
Withdrawn
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Manny Lopez | |||
| Democratic | Matthew Montavon | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 18
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Scott Franklin, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Scott Franklin, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
Scott Franklin
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Scott Franklin (R) | $377,663 | $161,493 | $568,945 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[129] | |||
Declared
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Braunston | |||
| Democratic | Andrea Doria Kale | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 19
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The 19th district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and Naples. The incumbent is Republican Byron Donalds, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Byron Donalds, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Declined
- Chris Collins, former U.S. representative from New York's 27th congressional district (2013–2019) and former Erie County, New York Executive (2008–2011)[130]
Endorsements
Byron Donalds
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Byron Donalds (R) | $2,321,535 | $2,142,959 | $916,567 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[131] | |||
Nominee
- Kari Lerner, chair of the Lee County Democratic Party[132]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kari Lerner (D) | $16,949[lower-alpha 18] | $8,071 | $8,877 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[131] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 20
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who was re-elected with 72.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Declined
- Luther Campbell, rapper and candidate for mayor of Miami-Dade County in 2011[133]
Endorsements
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) | $327,816 | $193,157 | $137,436 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[135] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 21
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. Representative[136]
- Rick Wiles, founder of TruNews and far-right conspiracy theorist[5]
Endorsements
Brian Mast
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Brian Mast (R) | $1,547,209 | $1,571,200 | $2,089,683 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[139] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Rick Wiles | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Thomas Witkop, neighborhood resource center manager[136]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 22
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Lois Frankel (D) | $864,026 | $298,367 | $1,211,365 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[141] | |||
Declared
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Deborah Adeimy (R) | $74,141[lower-alpha 19] | $9,755 | $64,829 |
| Dan Franzese (R) | $294,556[lower-alpha 20] | $279,249 | $23,287 |
| Andrew Gutmann (R) | $401,026[lower-alpha 21] | $93,549 | $307,476 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[141] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Deborah Adeimy | |||
| Republican | Dan Franzese | |||
| Republican | Andrew Gutmann | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 23
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The 23rd district covers parts of Broward County and southern Palm Beach County, including the cities of Boca Raton, Coral Springs, and most of Deerfield Beach and Fort Lauderdale. The incumbent is Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who was elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Jared Moskowitz, incumbent U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
Jared Moskowitz
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jared Moskowitz (D) | $653,427 | $442,081 | $293,968 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[144] | |||
Declared
- Gary Barve, Liberty University graduate student and former intern for U.S. Representative Bob Good[145] (previously ran for Virginia's 5th congressional district)[146]
- Darlene Cerezo Swaffar, insurance agency owner[5]
- Joe Kaufman, anti-Muslim activist, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2014, 2016, and 2018[5]
- Carla Spalding, nurse, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2020[147]
- Joe Thelusca, business consultant[145]
- Robert Weinroth, former Boca Raton city councilor[148]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joe Thelusca (R) | $13,400[lower-alpha 22] | $11,403 | $1,996 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[144] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Barve | |||
| Republican | Darlene Cerezo Swaffar | |||
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | |||
| Republican | Carla Spalding | |||
| Republican | Joe Thelusca | |||
| Republican | Robert Weinroth | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Likely D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | November 13, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Likely D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Very Likely D | November 16, 2023 |
District 24
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected in with 71.79% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Frederica Wilson
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Frederica Wilson (D) | $230,336 | $242,248 | $551,696 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[149] | |||
Declared
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Patricia Gonzalez | |||
| Republican | Jesus Navarro | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 25
| |||||||
| |||||||
The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 55,09% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Jen Perelman, attorney and candidate for this district[lower-alpha 23] in 2020[150]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Jen Perelman
- Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[151]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[151]
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
- Organizations
- AIPAC[21]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[51]
- Feminist Majority PAC[52]
- Giffords[106]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[134]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[152]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[62]
- Population Connection Action Fund[63]
- Pro-Israel America[138]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) | $1,593,903 | $1,019,654 | $1,356,628 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[153] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jen Perelman | |||
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Chris Eddy
- Organizations
Bryan Leib
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Eddy | |||
| Republican | Brian Leib | |||
| Republican | Rubin Young | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Chris Eddy (R) | $164,427[lower-alpha 24] | $78,863 | $85,563 |
| Carla Spalding (R) | $331,995 | $302,933 | $41,981 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[153] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 26
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 70.89% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
- Richard Evans, accountant[5]
- Johnny Fratto, HVAC installer[5]
Endorsements
Mario Díaz-Balart
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | $982,421 | $677,580 | $1,584,350 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[159] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Richard Evans | |||
| Republican | Johnny Fratto | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Nominee
- Joey Atkins, attorney[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 27
| |||||||
| |||||||
The 27th district includes parts of southern Miami, including Downtown, Little Havana, and Kendall, as well as Palmetto Estates and parts of Fontainebleau and Westchester. The incumbent is Republican María Elvira Salazar, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Declared
- María Elvira Salazar, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
- Royland Lara, bank teller[5]
Endorsements
María Elvira Salazar
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| María Elvira Salazar (R) | $1,310,118 | $507,577 | $832,420 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[161] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | María Elvira Salazar (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Royland Lara | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Declared
- Lucia Báez-Geller, Miami-Dade County Public Schools Board member[162]
- Mike Davey, former mayor of Key Biscayne[163]
Endorsements
Lucia Báez-Geller
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative from FL-26 (2019−2021)[164]
- Donna Shalala, former U.S. representative from FL-27 (2019−2021)[164]
- State legislators
- Kevin Chambliss, state representative[165]
- Ashley Gantt, state representative[166]
- Shevrin Jones, state senator[165]
- Annette Taddeo, former state senator[166]
- Local officials
- Javier Fernandez, mayor of South Miami[167]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Lucia Báez-Geller (D) | $102,419 | $16,505 | $85,913 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[161] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucia Báez-Geller | |||
| Democratic | Mike Davey | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Likely R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Very Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
District 28
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent is Republican Carlos Giménez who was re-elected with 63.69% of the vote in 2022.[3]
Nominee
- Carlos Giménez, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Endorsements
Carlos A. Giménez
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Carlos Giménez (R) | $545,051 | $358,911 | $905,945 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[171] | |||
Nominee
- Phil Ehr, nonprofit executive, nominee for the 1st district in 2020 and candidate in 2018[172] (previously ran for U.S. Senate)[173]
Withdrawn
- Marcos Reyes, real estate broker (running for state house)[174]
Endorsements
Phil Ehr
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district (2019–2021)[175]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Phil Ehr (D) | $852,593 | $784,994 | $67,598 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[171] | |||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[16] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[17] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 4] |
Margin of error |
Carlos Gímenez (R) |
Phil Ehr (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 5] | October 13–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 32% | 7%[lower-alpha 25] | 16% |
Notes
- $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Valimont
- $79,668 of this total was self-funded by Mills
- $13,986 of this total was self-funded by Pastrana
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Hearton
- $3,510 of this total was self-funded by McDow
- $17,500 of this total was self-funded by Quiñones
- $49,900 of this total was self-funded by McCloy
- The poll's sponsor only revealed the numbers for Sabatini and Webster, and did not explain how the remaining 36% of respondents answered.
- Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
- Numbered as the 20th from 2005–2013 and as the 23rd from 2013–2023
- $5,246 of this total was self-funded by Fox
- $17,837 of this total was self-funded by Liccione
- $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Weinkrantz
- $8,785 of this total was self-funded by Peters
- $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Perry
- $501,000 of this total was self-funded by Speir
- $3,742 of this total was self-funded by Lerner
- $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Adeimy
- $215,000 of this total was self-funded by Franzese
- $110,000 of this total was self-funded by Gutmann
- $8,200 of this total was self-funded by Thelusca
- This district was numbered as the 23rd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle
- $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Eddy
- "Would not vote" with 7%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Adams's campaign
- Poll sponsored by US Term Limits, which supports Sabatini[77]
- Poll sponsored by Fox's campaign
- Poll commissioned by Florida Politics
- Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign
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News: Lucia Báez-Geller, the Democrat running to unseat Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.), is receiving the endorsements of former Democratic Florida Reps. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala.
- Scheckner, Jesse (April 3, 2024). "'A record of fighting for South Florida families': Shevrin Jones endorses Lucia Báez-Geller for Congress". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
- Scheckner, Jesse (February 21, 2024). "'End the chaos': Ashley Gantt, Annette Taddeo back Lucia Báez-Geller for Congress". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 10, 2024.
- Scheckner, Jesse (May 17, 2024). "South Miami Mayor endorses Lucia Báez-Geller for Congress". Florida Politics.
- "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Lucia Báez-Geller in Florida's 27th Congressional District". www.boldpac.com. CHC BOLD PAC. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
- "EMILYs List Endorses Lucia Báez-Geller for Election to Florida's 27th Congressional District". EMILYs List. March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
- "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House". Reproductive Freedom for All. May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
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- Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". POLITICO. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
- Fineout, Gary (July 17, 2023). "Florida Navy vet mounts bid to defeat Rick Scott". POLITICO. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
- Scheckner, Jesse (February 2, 2024). "Phil Ehr outraises Carlos Giménez in Q4, but lags far behind in cash on hand". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
The FEC lists two other Democrats as running in CD 28...one, Marcos Reyes, dropped out of the race last month to instead challenge incumbent Miami Republican state Rep. Juan Porras
- Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". Politico. Retrieved October 19, 2023.
Mucarsel-Powell, who is endorsing Ehr, lost her congressional seat to Gimenez in the 2020 election.
- Ogles, Jacob (June 21, 2024). "Phil Ehr lands support of SEIU, nation's leading public employee union". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
External links
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
- Whitney Fox (D) for Congress
- John Liccione (D) for Congress
- Anna Paulina Luna (R) for Congress
- Mark Weinkrantz (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 19th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 20th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 22nd district candidates
- Deborah Adeimy (R) for Congress
- Lois Frankel (D) for Congress
- Dan Franzese (R) for Congress
- Andrew Gutmann (R) for Congress
- Lavern Spicer (R) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 23rd district candidates
- Gary Barve (R) for Congress
- Jared Moskowitz (D) for Congress
- Rafael Ortiz (R) for Congress
- Joe Thelusca (R) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 25th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 27th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 28th district candidates
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